Trump urges global denuclearization days after restarting U.S. nuclear testing—an uneasy paradox that could spark a new atomic rivalry.
Brajesh Mishra
President Donald Trump called for “global denuclearization” in a televised address from the White House, declaring he had spoken personally with Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping about “spending all that money on other things.” He warned that the world “could blow itself up 150 times” with existing arsenals.
Yet the plea for disarmament comes only a week after Trump ordered the resumption of U.S. nuclear weapons testing—for the first time in more than three decades. The contradiction has left allies and analysts baffled: is this a diplomatic pivot or a policy paradox?
On October 30, Trump directed the Pentagon to “immediately” begin nuclear weapons testing “on an equal footing” with Russia and China. The move appeared timed to coincide with a high-stakes meeting with Xi in Seoul.
Days later, Energy Secretary Chris Wright clarified that the tests would be “noncritical”—subcritical experiments using advanced computer simulations instead of detonations. But the announcement revived old fears of an arms race and provoked alarm in Nevada, where past nuclear tests left enduring environmental scars.
Then, on November 7, Trump abruptly pivoted. “There’s no need for this,” he said, referring to the nuclear buildup. “I’ve spoken to President Putin, I’ve spoken to President Xi, and we all agree it’s wasteful.”
To his critics, this wasn’t strategy—it was confusion. “It’s like pressing the accelerator and brake at the same time,” said a former U.S. arms-control negotiator. “You can’t call for denuclearization while restarting the testing apparatus that signals rearmament.”
In Moscow, Putin publicly expressed willingness to keep abiding by the New START Treaty limits for another year after its scheduled February 2026 expiration. But his defense minister warned that Trump’s test order “heightens the level of military threat to Russia.”
In Beijing, Xi Jinping avoided direct comment. China’s foreign ministry dismissed Trump’s trilateral initiative as “unfair and unreasonable.” Just two months earlier, Xi had quietly dropped any mention of “denuclearization” during his summit with North Korea’s Kim Jong Un—an unmistakable sign that Beijing’s priorities have shifted toward nuclear modernization, not restraint.
Meanwhile, in Nevada, local leaders vowed to block new testing. “We’ve lived the fallout once,” said Senator Jacky Rosen. “We won’t again.”
Across the Pacific, the Marshall Islands, still suffering radiation from Cold War detonations, issued a statement calling any U.S. return to testing “a betrayal of human memory.”
The timing makes the stakes starker. The New START Treaty—the last legally binding limit on U.S.-Russian nuclear stockpiles—expires on February 5, 2026. If not renewed, the world’s two largest nuclear powers will operate without verifiable caps for the first time in sixteen years.
The numbers explain Trump’s “150-times” remark: the U.S. holds roughly 5,800 warheads, Russia 6,200, and China about 410. Together, that’s more than 12,000 nuclear weapons—enough to end civilization many times over.
North Korea’s estimated 50 assembled warheads and hundreds of kilograms of enriched uranium complicate any notion of “complete denuclearization.” Kim Jong Un’s regime continues testing short-range missiles and expanding fissile production with little pushback from Beijing or Moscow.
Behind the geopolitics lies a quieter revolution.
The Pentagon’s Project Maven now feeds AI-generated intelligence directly into U.S. nuclear command systems—sometimes without human review. Supporters say it increases precision; skeptics warn of “automation bias” in a domain where minutes separate alert from annihilation.
At the same time, researchers at Sandia National Laboratories have developed AI-based verification tools capable of confirming warhead authenticity with over 90 percent accuracy—technology that could finally make transparent disarmament feasible.
So the paradox deepens: the same AI systems that could secure denuclearization might also make accidental escalation more likely. As one analyst put it, “We’re using machine learning to predict nuclear war—and to prevent it.”
Trump’s call for denuclearization sounds, on paper, like a plea for sanity. In practice, it’s the latest move in a pattern of strategic ambiguity—one that leaves both allies and adversaries guessing.
If denuclearization is serious, it must be backed by verifiable treaties, renewed trust, and transparency. If it’s rhetorical cover for renewed testing and modernization, the world edges closer to a new atomic age.
Either way, the contradiction captures the age perfectly: we have the intelligence to forecast disaster—and still the impulse to build it.
Trump’s statement is less about disarmament and more about redefinition of dominance. The call for denuclearization, arriving in the same breath as testing orders, reflects a deeper truth of modern power politics: the language of peace often masks preparation for the next race.
The real story is not whether the U.S., Russia, and China will disarm. It’s whether technology—especially AI—will outpace human judgment before diplomacy can catch up.
In a century where algorithms assist launch systems and supercomputers verify treaties, the nuclear dilemma is no longer just political or moral. It’s computational. The future of peace may depend not on who controls the button, but on who writes the code behind it.
Q1. Why is Trump calling for denuclearization now?
Trump’s November 7 remarks came days after announcing a resumption of U.S. nuclear testing. His denuclearization call appears aimed at projecting diplomatic leadership before the 2026 New START Treaty expiration—but critics argue it masks a renewed nuclear modernization effort.
Q2. Didn’t Trump just restart nuclear testing?
Yes. On October 30, Trump ordered the Pentagon to “immediately” begin nuclear weapons testing. Energy Secretary Chris Wright later clarified that tests would be “noncritical”—meaning no detonations—but the move still signaled a major policy reversal.
Q3. What’s the contradiction between testing and denuclearization?
Resuming nuclear tests undermines global disarmament credibility. Analysts say Trump’s “test to negotiate” approach risks triggering reciprocal tests by Russia and China, accelerating the very arms race denuclearization aims to end.
Q4. How does AI fit into this story?
AI is now part of nuclear command, control, and verification systems. The Pentagon’s Project Maven feeds AI-generated intelligence directly to commanders, raising fears of automation bias. Conversely, AI also enables advanced arms control verification—potentially making denuclearization verifiable for the first time.
Q5. What happens if the New START Treaty expires?
If not renewed by February 5, 2026, it will leave U.S. and Russian nuclear forces without legal limits for the first time in 16 years. That could ignite a new arms race and nullify any realistic path toward denuclearization.
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