Cyclone Ditwah has killed 123 in Sri Lanka and triggered a Red Alert for Tamil Nadu. Track the storm's path, school closures, and the battle between AI and traditional forecasts.
Brajesh Mishra
Cyclone Ditwah, a severe storm fueled by record-high ocean temperatures, has left a trail of devastation in Sri Lanka, killing at least 123 people with 130 still missing as of today, November 29, 2025. The storm is now churning towards the Indian coast, prompting the India Meteorological Department (IMD) to issue a "Red Alert" for North Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, and South Andhra Pradesh. With landfall expected by the morning of November 30, authorities in Chennai and surrounding districts have ordered school closures and deployed NDRF teams, bracing for "extremely heavy" rainfall exceeding 20 cm.
Ditwah is part of a rare "twin storm" event, following closely on the heels of Cyclone Senyar. It underwent "rapid intensification"—strengthening from a depression to a cyclonic storm in under 24 hours—driven by the anomalously warm waters of the Bay of Bengal. In Sri Lanka, this fury translated into record-breaking rainfall (over 300 mm in 24 hours), which triggered massive landslides in the central highlands, wiping out tea estates and destroying critical infrastructure like the Moragahakanda bridge. India has responded with "Operation Sagar Bandhu," dispatching naval ships and relief supplies to its neighbor while simultaneously preparing its own eastern seaboard for impact.
While the headlines scream "Red Alert," the deeper story is the "Battle of the Models." Traditional meteorological forecasting predicts a standard cyclonic impact. However, emerging AI models, including Google DeepMind's, are suggesting a divergent scenario: that Ditwah might degrade rapidly into a Low Pressure Area before hitting the Indian coast. This discrepancy creates a high-stakes real-time test for AI in disaster management. If the AI is right and the storm fizzles, it could revolutionize how we prepare for disasters. If it's wrong, the "better safe than sorry" approach of the IMD remains the only viable defense against an increasingly volatile climate.
For Sri Lanka, the destruction of tea estate infrastructure threatens a vital economic lifeline, potentially spiking global tea prices. For India, the "twin storm" phenomenon signals a permanent shift in the Indian Ocean's climate dynamics, where rapid intensification becomes the norm rather than the exception. This shrinks the window for evacuation and preparation, making the integration of faster, AI-driven forecasting tools an urgent national priority rather than a scientific novelty.
If our oceans are getting hot enough to brew storms overnight, can our disaster response systems—and our cities—move fast enough to survive them?
Will Cyclone Ditwah hit Chennai directly? The IMD forecasts that the storm will move towards the North Tamil Nadu coast (impacting Chennai) by the morning of November 30. However, some models, including AI-based ones, suggest it might weaken into a depression before making a severe landfall.
How many people died in Sri Lanka due to Cyclone Ditwah? As of November 29, 2025, at least 123 people have been confirmed dead and 130 are missing in Sri Lanka due to landslides and flash floods triggered by the cyclone.
What is Operation Sagar Bandhu? Operation Sagar Bandhu is India's humanitarian assistance mission to Sri Lanka, involving the deployment of naval ships (INS Vikrant, INS Udaigiri) and NDRF personnel to aid in rescue and relief operations following Cyclone Ditwah.
Is there a holiday for schools in Chennai tomorrow? Given the Red Alert issued for November 29-30 and the forecast for extremely heavy rain, school closures have been announced for Chennai and several neighboring districts.
What does the name 'Ditwah' mean? The name 'Ditwah' was contributed by Yemen. It refers to the Detwah Lagoon, a protected nature reserve on the island of Socotra, Yemen.
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