Following deadly suicide bombings, Pakistan's Defence Minister declares a "state of war," accusing India of "waging aggression" through Afghanistan.
Sseema Giill
Pakistan's Defence Minister [Khawaja Asif] declared his country to be in a "state of war" on November 11, 2025, following separate suicide bombings that killed at least 24 people in Islamabad and South Waziristan. Asif explicitly accused India of orchestrating the attacks, claiming it is "Indian aggression that is being waged in our country through the route of Afghanistan." The warning, which included the threat of military strikes inside Afghanistan, marks a severe escalation in a volatile conflict triangle, coming just one day after a car bomb killed 12 in New Delhi.
Tensions have been high for months. In May 2025, India and Pakistan exchanged direct military strikes—["Operation Sindoor"] and "Operation Bunyan-un-Marsoos"—following a major terror attack in Pahalgam. More recently, Pakistan's security establishment was unnerved by an October 10 visit by Afghan Foreign Minister [Amir Khan Muttaqi] to India, which upgraded diplomatic ties to the embassy level. Pakistan, viewing this as "strategic encirclement," conducted airstrikes against alleged [Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP)] targets in Afghanistan on October 9. The current crisis follows the collapse of ceasefire talks and a deadly attack at Delhi's [Red Fort] on November 10, which Pakistan, without evidence, also blamed on "Indian-backed militants."
While most reports are focusing on the immediate threat of war, the deeper story is Pakistan's use of escalatory rhetoric to mask a critical lack of evidence. Pakistan's claims that India is sponsoring the [TTP] attacks—which killed 12 at an Islamabad court and over 12 at a Wana military academy—are unsubstantiated. This narrative of an "India proxy war" conveniently shifts blame from Pakistan's own internal security failures in managing the TTP, and serves as a political justification for potential military action against an Afghan regime that is now pivoting strategically toward India.
Asif's accusations, though unsubstantiated, put three nations on a dangerous path. Pakistan's threat of strikes on Afghanistan, a country it already bombed in October, could reignite a full-scale border war. This has already shuttered the [Torkham] and [Chaman] border crossings, halting over $2 billion in trade. For India, Pakistan's rhetoric attempts to poison its new diplomatic relationship with the Taliban and frame its legitimate engagement as aggression. With regional mediation efforts by [China] and Turkey having failed, the region lacks a clear de-escalation mechanism.
When a nation's official narrative of external aggression is not supported by evidence, does it make a retaliatory war more or less likely?
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