Trump signals a tougher Russia policy by sharing an editorial urging sanctions and "deadly weapons" for Ukraine. Is the peace deal dead?
Sseema Giill
The fragile optimism surrounding Ukraine peace talks shattered on New Year's Eve. On December 31, 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump reposted a sharply worded New York Post editorial titled "Putin 'attack' bluster shows Russia is the one standing in the way of peace," effectively endorsing its call to "turn up the heat" on Moscow. The editorial urged Washington to abandon concessions and instead deploy "more stringent sanctions and more deadly weapons" to force Russian compliance. This marks a dramatic tonal shift from Trump’s stance just a week prior, signaling that his patience with Vladimir Putin’s negotiating tactics has run out.
The diplomatic mood soured rapidly over the last seven days. On December 24, Trump met Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, expressing optimism about a breakthrough. However, a December 29 phone call with Putin reportedly ended badly, with the Russian leader hardening his stance and citing an alleged (and disputed) Ukrainian drone attack on his residence as a pretext to stall talks. Trump, visibly frustrated, told reporters on Tuesday that attacking Putin’s house was "not the right time." By Wednesday night, that frustration hardened into policy signaling. The editorial Trump shared dismissed Putin’s complaints as "crocodile tears" and argued that only brute force—economic and military—would bring Russia back to the table.
While mainstream media focuses on the "Tough Talk," the deeper story is the "Credibility Gap." Trump has a history of bellicose rhetoric followed by conciliation (recall the "Fire and Fury" to "Love Letters" arc with North Korea). Allies in NATO and officials in Kyiv are now forced to decipher: Is this editorial a genuine policy pivot, or just leverage for the next phone call? The editorial calls for "deadly weapons," but until the Pentagon actually signs the transfer orders, this remains a war of words.
Furthermore, the "Midterm Shadow" cannot be ignored. With Democrats favored to gain ground in the House, Trump needs a foreign policy win. Being "tough on Russia" is one of the few bipartisan plays left in his playbook. This pivot might be as much about domestic polling as it is about Donbas geopolitics.
If Trump follows through on the editorial’s recommendations, we could see a rapid escalation in U.S. involvement in 2026—moving from "sustaining" Ukraine to actively degrading Russian capabilities. This would likely spike global energy prices, contradicting Trump’s "energy dominance" platform, but it might be the only way to salvage his promise to end the war.
If Trump is threatening to "turn up the heat" now, does that mean he finally realizes his charm offensive with Putin has failed?
What did Trump mean by "turn up the heat" on Russia? On December 31, 2025, Trump reposted a New York Post editorial that urged the U.S. to stop making concessions and instead "turn up the heat" on Vladimir Putin. The phrase refers to increasing economic sanctions and supplying Ukraine with "more deadly weapons" to force Russia to negotiate seriously.
Why is Trump suddenly taking a harder line on Russia? Trump's shift appears driven by frustration. After expressing optimism about peace talks in late December, a phone call with Putin reportedly went poorly, with the Russian leader hardening his stance. Trump seems to be using the editorial to signal that if Russia won't negotiate in good faith, the U.S. is ready to escalate pressure.
Does this mean Trump is abandoning efforts to make peace with Russia? Not necessarily. Most analysts view this as a negotiating tactic—the "bad cop" phase. By threatening escalation, Trump likely hopes to pressure Putin back to the table on more favorable terms. However, it acknowledges that his initial "charm offensive" has hit a wall.
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