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Bharat One Dec. 16, 2025, 8:43 p.m.

Beyond Petra: The Strategic "Fertilizer Play" Behind Modi’s Jordan Trip

PM Modi’s historic visit to Jordan aims for $5B trade and secures vital fertilizer supplies. It marks a strategic shift in India’s West Asia policy and IMEC goals.

by Author Sseema Giill
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Prime Minister Narendra Modi's arrival in Amman on December 15, 2025, marks a watershed moment in India's West Asia strategy. As the first Indian Prime Minister to make a full bilateral visit to Jordan in nearly four decades, Modi’s presence signals more than a celebration of 75 years of diplomatic ties. It represents a definitive step toward operationalizing the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC), positioning Jordan as the critical "land bridge" connecting South Asia to Europe in a post-Gaza geopolitical order.

The Context (How We Got Here)

For years, Jordan was a quiet partner, visited by Modi only in transit to Palestine in 2018. But the tectonic shifts of 2024-25—supply chain disruptions from the Red Sea crisis and the West’s "China-Plus-One" diversification—have thrust the Hashemite Kingdom into the spotlight. With bilateral trade crossing USD 2.8 billion in 2024, India sees Jordan not just as a friend, but as a logistics hub and a trusted source of phosphate fertilizers, essential for India’s food security.

The Key Players (Who & So What)

  • Prime Minister Narendra Modi: The strategist. By engaging Jordan directly, he is de-risking India’s supply chains and creating a non-aligned sphere of influence in the Arab world that balances ties with Israel and the Gulf monarchies.
  • King Abdullah II: The stabilizer. As the custodian of Jerusalem’s holy sites and a buffer against regional chaos, his alignment with India offers a stable partner for Modi’s corridor ambitions.
  • Crown Prince Hussein: The modernizer. His personal farewell to Modi at the airport underscores the next generation's commitment to a tech-driven partnership, moving beyond traditional diplomacy to digital governance and innovation.

The BIGSTORY Reframe

While headlines celebrate "friendship," the deeper story is "The Fertilizer Security Play." India is the world's largest importer of phosphates, a critical fertilizer component heavily controlled by China. The JIFCO joint venture in Jordan is India's insurance policy. By doubling down on this relationship, Modi is quietly securing the "rocks" that feed India, reducing vulnerability to Beijing's export curbs. This visit isn't just about history; it's about the future of Indian agriculture and the resilience of its food supply chain in a volatile world.

The Implications (Why This Changes Things)

The visit sets the stage for a new economic architecture in West Asia. By setting a USD 5 billion trade target by 2030 and signing the Petra-Ellora twinning agreement, India is weaving Jordan into its economic and cultural fabric. For the region, it validates India as a "development partner" capable of delivering digital infrastructure (DPI) and trade connectivity without the debt-trap diplomacy associated with other powers.

The Closing Question (Now, Think About This)

If Jordan is the key to bypassing the Suez Canal and breaking reliance on Chinese fertilizers, is Amman now India’s most underrated strategic partner?

FAQs

Why is PM Modi's visit to Jordan significant? It is the first bilateral visit by an Indian Prime Minister to Jordan in 37 years, signaling a major strategic reset. It aims to operationalize the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC) and secure critical fertilizer supplies, positioning Jordan as a key partner in India's West Asia strategy.

What is the trade target set during Modi's Jordan visit? Prime Minister Modi and King Abdullah II have set a target to double bilateral trade from the current USD 2.3-2.8 billion to USD 5 billion by 2030.

How does Jordan help India's food security? Jordan is a major supplier of rock phosphate and phosphoric acid, which are essential for manufacturing fertilizers. The JIFCO joint venture in Jordan is a key asset that helps India reduce its dependence on other suppliers like China, ensuring a stable supply for its agricultural sector.

What is the Petra-Ellora twinning agreement? It is a cultural agreement signed during the visit to link the historic city of Petra in Jordan with the Ellora Caves in India. The pact aims to boost heritage tourism and cultural exchange between the two nations.

Sources

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Research & Analysis


Sseema Giill
Sseema Giill Founder & CEO

Sseema Giill is an inspiring media professional, CEO of Screenage Media Pvt Ltd, and founder of the NGO AGE (Association for Gender Equality). She is also the Founder CEO and Chief Editor at BIGSTORY NETWORK. Giill champions women's empowerment and gender equality, particularly in rural India, and was honored with the Champions of Change Award in 2023.

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